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060205

AFPAK update: It's all about the civilians

By Samuel Knight Jun 18 2009, 10:23 AM

General Stanley McChrystal took the reins from General David McKiernan in Afghanistan today, as President Obama continues to put his stamp on policy towards Afghanistan.

One policy that is going to have to change, said the Chief of the U.N. Mission in Afghanistan, is the manner in which U.S. forces have been conducting raids. He warned against the aggressive style, saying not only that raids should be “Afghanized,” but that American troops are over-reliant on airstrikes when militants open fire during raids.

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates agreed in principle, recognizing this week that the U.S. must do a better job of keeping civilian deaths to a minimum. Insurgent attacks in Afghanistan are at a new high since 2001, reflecting a growing resentment of NATO forces amongst Afghans. Gen. McChrystal, chosen by Gates himself to replace Gen. McKiernan, echoed this appeal, saying protecting civilians (especially considering the upcoming elections) and improving quality of life are of the utmost importance.

Meanwhile, some military lessons learned in Iraq are already proving to be inapplicable in Afghanistan. Heavily armored humvees that proved useful in defending against roadside bombs in Iraq are hindering troops in Afghanistan. Lighter, more mobile vehicles are needed to pursue insurgents, who are employing hit-and-run tactics, especially considering the more rugged off-road terrain.

Furthermore, Afghanistan's lack of infrastructure is hindering tactics that succeeded in Iraq. Considering that there is more of a disconnect between rural and urban dwellers in Afghanistan, development projects and other efforts to reach out to Afghan civilians is going to have to be stepped up.

Hey Ashfaq, mum's the word, ok?

Across the border, Al-Jazeera's Imran Khan thinks that beefing up vehicular armor will benefit the Pakistani military in its intense engagement with the Taliban and friends on their side of the Afpak divide. But regardless of this perceived need for better defensive gear, Pakistani forces are pressing forward with their plan of stamping out Islamist militancy.

Pakistani Army chief, General Ashfaq Kayani, whose first name would cause most English speaking 15-year old boys the world over to giggle, declared that Taliban leader, Baithullah Mehsud, “must be eliminated,” implying that operations should soon be expanded beyond the Swat Valley to Waziristan. Though pundits were astonished by his inability to keep his cards close to his chest, Gen. Kayani is looking to capitalize on a recent momentum shift; Pakistani public opinion has recently turned against the Taliban. Civilians in one village, angered over a suicide attack at a mosque, went as far as to form a militia to fight militants. Even Qain Zainuddin, a Taliban leader, denounced Mehsud's terrorist tactics. Civilians in eastern Pakistan were also seen demonstrating against the Taliban, after a suicide bomb exploded at a mosque in Lahore, killing a prominent anti-fundamentalist cleric.

A mounting refugee crisis could jeopardize the recent progress that the Pakistani army has made, however, especially considering that the militants could merely be regrouping and may try to recruit disaffected civilians. Some 250,000 refugees from the Swat Valley are expected to remain in camps until the end of the year. Three million people have been displaced already, and more are expected with the upcoming push against militants in Waziristan.

Unwelcome in other parts of Pakistan, the refugee problem is a major headache for the virtually bankrupt government. Though foreign governments are helping out, there is no place like home for the refugees, who want their nightmare to end as soon as possible. Just like the Americans in Afghanistan, Kayani warned, the Pakistani army is going to have to incorporate the well-being of civilians into any successful long-term strategy.

 

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