President Obama announced
plans to send 4,000 more troops, er, “military trainers” to Afghanistan
on Friday, causing concerns from both his left and right flanks. However, he
gave the troops a targeted mission—to train Afghan troops—contrary to the
advice of Richard Holbrooke, his own envoy to South Asia,
who argued for a more expansive role. While Obama has made the correct decision
in limiting the mission of these extra troops, he inadvertently may be setting up
the United States for
indirect rule in South Asia for longer than
anyone anticipates.
Both Holbrooke and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton pressed
Obama to ask the troops to help the Afghan government in a wide variety of
tasks, from promoting agriculture to combating corruption. As the British, the Russians, and the
Taliban themselves have learned at different times, Afghanistan is a difficult place to
govern. Unlike Iraq, which has
always been fairly urban, Afghanistan
is upwards of 70% rural. Moreover, the rural areas are still ruled by clan and
tribal customs rather than by the central government. While any number of NGOs
or even government-sponsored organizations could help with agricultural or
economic development, a large-scale, (dare I say it) Clintonian nation-building
project is simply unworkable from a military standpoint. So why did the
officials argue for it?
Part of the reason has to do with poppy production, which is
used to make heroin and funds Taliban and other insurgent activities. Holbrooke
and Clinton argued that stopping poppy production might cut off the Taliban at
the knees. That’s a fair point, but otherwise innocent farmers grow most of the
poppy. “Cutting off production” could be a polite way of saying “burn down
their fields.” This is the problem inherent to military dominated
nation-building. Militaries must take harsh steps to complete their missions. This
is not to say that these steps are unnecessary or even bad, but they can make
attempts at building up the country carry less credibility with the local
populace.
Obama has done the right thing, then, in limiting the mission
of these extra troops, but the seeds of nation-building remain. The New York Times reported
that “[p]art of Mr. Obama’s plan includes sending hundreds of additional
diplomats and civilian experts into the region.” This sounds great, but neither
the President’s announcement nor the White House’s white paper on the new way
forward gives any indication of where these new civilians are coming from.
Clinton, in a message
leaked to ABC News, implies that most
of them shall come from USAID (which funds international development
projects) or contracts assigned by it. This is better than the military, but
reports have circulated that the United Nations is looking into allegations
than an American official in Afghanistan
spent tens of thousands of dollars on luxury items for himself. An Afghan
former assistant to President Hamid Karzai told me that such things are not
uncommon. More importantly, it renders the Afghan government dependent on
American and other Western aid for even longer. There is a fine line between “civilian
assistants” and “colonial administrators.”
This column has expressed
skepticism in the past for the so-called “surge in Afghanistan.” While I
give Obama credit for limiting the mission of these 4,000 extra troops he
announced Friday, he has given no such limits to the 17,000 he announced
previously. It is clear that the administration does not want to indirectly
rule Afghanistan
in the long term, but it may be setting us up for that anyway.
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